Development of strategy formulation with scenario planning approach case study on Zakat House
Abstract:
Purpose: This study aims to provide strategic solutions for Rumah Zakat over the next ten years using a scenario planning approach. It focuses on identifying driving forces, critical uncertainties, and possible future scenarios in the zakat industry, and formulating adaptive strategies.
Research Methodology: A qualitative descriptive design was employed, with data collected through in-depth interviews involving internal and external stakeholders, supported by secondary data. PESTEL and Porter’s Five Forces analyses identified 29 driving forces, which were assessed using an impact/uncertainty matrix and developed into a 2×2 scenario matrix, producing four potential future situations.
Results: Four scenarios were generated: Jumping Frog, Accelerate to Excellence, The Struggle, and Business as Usual as a reference description of the conditions that need to be considered when dealing with uncertain conditions in the future, so that the institution can determine its strategic direction more optimally. Institutions need to consider the implications and options strategies in each scenario to strengthen the ability of today's institutions to deal with various conditions that will arise in the future.
Conclusion: Scenario planning enables Rumah Zakat to anticipate and prepare for various future conditions, reducing risks from environmental uncertainties. Implementing common strategies such as collaborating with government zakat institutions, leveraging CSR funds, fostering talent, digitizing processes, and innovating business models will enhance institutional resilience and competitiveness..
Limitations: The study is limited to a single case, a qualitative data scope, and a small number of expert informants, making generalization cautious.
Contribution: This research contributes to strategic management in Islamic philanthropy by demonstrating the practical application of scenario planning for adaptive and sustainable long-term strategy formulation.
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Adom, D., Hussein, E. K., & Agyem, J. A. (2018). Theoretical and Conceptual Framework: Mandatory Ingredients of a Quality Research. International journal of scientific research, 7(1), 438-441.
Berg, P. v. d., Scholten, D., Schachter, J., & Blok, K. (2021). Updating Scenarios: A Multi-Layer Framework for Structurally Incorporating New Information and Uncertainties Into Scenarios. Futures, 130, 1-16. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102751
Cairns, G., & Wright, G. (2019). Making Scenario Interventions Matter: Exploring Issues of Power and Rationality. Futures & Foresight Science, 1(1), 1-14. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.10
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Mabhanda, W. (2022). The Role of Green Innovation in Promoting Sustainable Economic Development in Gweru, Zimbabwe. Journal of Sustainable Tourism and Entrepreneurship, 4(2), 87-103. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/joste.v4i3.1871
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Salim, A. S., & Rahmat, Z. (2022). Peran Guru Pendidikan Jasmani Terhadap Pembelajaran Kepramukaan di SMAN 1 Baitussalam Aceh Besar. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Pendidikan, 3(1).
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Suherna, & Nasiatin, T. (2023). Relationship between Customer Management Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) and Marketing Performance in Banten. Journal of Sustainable Tourism and Entrepreneurship, 4(3), 345-355. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/joste.v4i3.2005
Syukriadi, L. N., & Sunitiyoso, Y. (2021). Scenario Planning Approach for PT. ViewTron Indonesia in Developing It’s Business in Indonesia. Jurnal Bisnis Strategi, 30(1), 66-89. doi:https://doi.org/10.14710/jbs.30.1.66-89
Trisusanti, N., Arifuddin, H., & Umar, F. (2023). Implementation of Strategic Management in Improving Organizational Performance in Manufacturing Companies. Indonesian Journal of Economics and Management, 3(3), 572-581. doi:https://doi.org/10.35313/ijem.v3i3.5109
Yüksel, I. (2012). Developing a Multi-Criteria Decision Making Model for PESTEL Analysis. International Journal of Business and Management, 7(24), 52-66. doi:https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v7n24p52
- Adom, D., Hussein, E. K., & Agyem, J. A. (2018). Theoretical and Conceptual Framework: Mandatory Ingredients of a Quality Research. International journal of scientific research, 7(1), 438-441.
- Berg, P. v. d., Scholten, D., Schachter, J., & Blok, K. (2021). Updating Scenarios: A Multi-Layer Framework for Structurally Incorporating New Information and Uncertainties Into Scenarios. Futures, 130, 1-16. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2021.102751
- Cairns, G., & Wright, G. (2019). Making Scenario Interventions Matter: Exploring Issues of Power and Rationality. Futures & Foresight Science, 1(1), 1-14. doi:https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.10
- Donkoh, S., & Mensah, J. (2023). Application of Triangulation in Qualitative Research. Journal of Applied Biotechnology and Bioengineering, 10(1), 6-9. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.15406/jabb.2023.10.00319
- Fahim, A. Y., Al Mamun, A., Hossain, A., Chakma, T., & Hassan, E. M. (2022). Unpacking Brand Imperialism in Bangladesh: Emerging Market Perspective. International Journal of Financial, Accounting, and Management, 4(2), 219-239. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/ijfam.v4i2.863
- Faqih, M. (2014). Perencanaan Skenario (Scenario Planning) Pengembangan Sektor Kelautan dan Perikanan Berbasis Potensi Lokal (Studi Kasus di Kabupaten Lombok Timur, Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Barat). Jurnal Administrasi Publik (JAP), 2(10).
- Imelda, J. D. (2023). Model Perencanaan Strategis dalam Service Organization: Sebuah Kajian Literatur. Jurnal Ilmu Kesejahteraan Sosial, 24(1), 48-61. doi:https://doi.org/10.7454/jurnalkessos.v24i1.1007
- Indrawati. (2015). Metode Penelitian Manajemen dan Bisnis: Konvergensi Teknologi Komunikasi dan Informasi. Bandung: Refika Aditama.
- Iskandar, A., & Subekan, A. (2016). Analisis Determinan Kemiskinan di Sulawesi Selatan. Jurnal Tata Kelola dan Akuntabilitas Keuangan Negara, 2(1), 1-25. doi:https://doi.org/10.28986/jtaken.v2i1.36
- Konjala, W. Q., & Wulansari, P. (2025). The Influence of Compensation and Motivation on the Performance of Civil Servants at the Population and Civil Registry Office of Bandung District. Journal of Multidisciplinary Academic Business Studies, 2(2), 329-346. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/jomabs.v2i2.2671
- Mabhanda, W. (2022). The Role of Green Innovation in Promoting Sustainable Economic Development in Gweru, Zimbabwe. Journal of Sustainable Tourism and Entrepreneurship, 4(2), 87-103. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/joste.v4i3.1871
- Marciano, C., Fergnani, A., & Robiati, A. (2024). Mission-Oriented Scenarios: A New Method for Urban Foresight. foresight, 26(2), 351-364. doi:https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-06-2023-0119
- Nurrisa, F., & Hermina, D. (2025). Pendekatan Kualitatif dalam Penelitian: Strategi, Tahapan, dan Analisis Data. Jurnal Teknologi Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran, 2(3), 793-800.
- Paramadita, S., Umar, A., & Kurniawan, Y. J. (2020). Analisa PESTEL terhadap Penetrasi Gojek di Indonesia. Jurnal Pengabdian dan Kewirausahaan, 4(1), 37-49. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.30813/jpk.v4i1.2079
- Putri, S., & Utama, A. A. (2024). Reliability Improvement Process Case Study: PT HMS Tbk. Jurnal Bisnis dan Pemasaran Digital, 3(2), 107-124. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/jbpd.v3i2.4512
- Ruhyana, V. I. S. Q. (2023). Process Analysis of Business Incubators in Creating Product Innovation at PT. Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (A Case Study of Digital Amoeba). Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 20(1), 34-47. doi:https://doi.org/10.21831/jim.v20i1.59142
- Salim, A. S., & Rahmat, Z. (2022). Peran Guru Pendidikan Jasmani Terhadap Pembelajaran Kepramukaan di SMAN 1 Baitussalam Aceh Besar. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Pendidikan, 3(1).
- Schwartz, P. (1996). The Art of the Long View: Paths to Strategic Insight for Yourself and Your Company. New York: Currency Doubleday.
- Sekaran, U., & Bougie, R. (2016). Research Methods for Business: A Skill Building Approach Seventh Edition. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
- Siedlecki, S. L. (2020). Understanding Descriptive Research Designs and Methods. Clinical Nurse Specialist, 34(1), 8-12. doi:https://doi.org/10.1097/nur.0000000000000493
- Sridjaya, R. H., & Yuniarto, I. A. (2023). Adaptive Scenario Planning Development for Indonesian Upstream Oil and Gas Industry: Case Study of PT Kelola Migas in Managing Mature Field Phase. European Journal of Business and Management Research, 8(4), 101-109. doi:https://doi.org/10.24018/ejbmr.2023.8.4.2019
- Sugiyono. (2017). Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif dan R&D. Bandung: Alfabeta.
- Suherna, & Nasiatin, T. (2023). Relationship between Customer Management Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) and Marketing Performance in Banten. Journal of Sustainable Tourism and Entrepreneurship, 4(3), 345-355. doi:https://doi.org/10.35912/joste.v4i3.2005
- Syukriadi, L. N., & Sunitiyoso, Y. (2021). Scenario Planning Approach for PT. ViewTron Indonesia in Developing It’s Business in Indonesia. Jurnal Bisnis Strategi, 30(1), 66-89. doi:https://doi.org/10.14710/jbs.30.1.66-89
- Trisusanti, N., Arifuddin, H., & Umar, F. (2023). Implementation of Strategic Management in Improving Organizational Performance in Manufacturing Companies. Indonesian Journal of Economics and Management, 3(3), 572-581. doi:https://doi.org/10.35313/ijem.v3i3.5109
- Yüksel, I. (2012). Developing a Multi-Criteria Decision Making Model for PESTEL Analysis. International Journal of Business and Management, 7(24), 52-66. doi:https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v7n24p52